Bitcoin faces a challenging situation as it enters the second week of July, with traders concerned about further price decline. After experiencing its lowest weekly close in four months, Bitcoin is causing anxiety among bulls as unrealized losses increase and predictions of more downside emerge. Market participants are prepared for lower levels, with the possibility of Bitcoin dropping to or below $50,000. The recent downturn is believed to be influenced by selling from the United States and German governments, as well as reimbursements of Bitcoin owed to creditors of the defunct exchange Mt. Gox. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index reflects the market’s sensitivity to these factors, as it has plummeted 60% in the past month, nearing “extreme fear.” In light of these circumstances, traders and analysts have varying opinions on how Bitcoin’s price might respond. Some anticipate more downside, considering the recent bounce as a temporary relief before further decline. Others point to the relative strength index (RSI) as a signal for oversold conditions and potential bounce zones. Speculators in the Bitcoin market have suffered losses, with an increasing number of investors finding themselves underwater on their holdings. Unrealized losses of short-term holder whales are a cause of concern, as the market could be affected if they panic. However, there is hope that the spent output profit ratio (SOPR) for short-term holders indicates the price nearing a bottom, similar to previous bullish phases. Meanwhile, upcoming macroeconomic data, including the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI), as well as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony to the US Senate, will play a role in assessing market sentiment. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index, which has dropped to its lowest levels, reflects a retracement of sentiment from extreme greed to extreme fear. Despite the decline in Bitcoin’s price, sentiment during the first high in 2021 was at its peak. This article does not provide investment advice, and readers are encouraged to conduct their own research before making any decisions.

